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Governor Evers, the level of infections and fatalities from COVID-19 has been materially less than feared by your original projections. However, the consequences to jobs, livelihoods, and well-being have been severely impacted by the ‘Safer at Home’ Order. We, the undersigned, demand that you immediately re-open the State of Wisconsin for commerce, social interaction, unrestricted travel, and restore the civil rights and civil liberties of our citizens.

AND COUNTING


It’s time to open Wisconsin. Decisions are being made to lock down our state that are having both severe economic and health consequences for our citizens. We cannot focus on just the health risk of one virus over all other health risks to our population. We know the risk for heart attacks, strokes, suicides and drug overdoses all increase significantly when people are jobless or under severe financial stress. People are also not being diagnosed or treated timely for serious medical issues. This has also taken an enormous toll on many citizens’ mental health and emotional states. Additionally, the effects on our youth – in areas like education, employment, and life milestones such as graduation and marriage – have all been negatively impacted.

Wisconsin is not New York, China, or Italy – all densely packed societies. Our future matters, and we must safely open our state to mitigate the negative long-term consequences this lockdown has caused our citizens and economy. We also cannot fail to recognize the long-term economic damage this lockdown has caused to our small businesses, which are the lifeblood of our communities and employment.

Many other states with higher virus caseloads have already started reopening. Unfortunately, our governor has not addressed the science or facts on the ground to justify his decisions, and as a result, he has made the lockdown and pandemic appear political. This should not be about politics or partisanship. It should only be about the overall health and wellbeing of our citizens.






Virus

Economy

 

Summary Statistics

Total Cases: 9,215 Total WI Population: 5,822,000
Deaths: 374 Total Residents Tested: 102,250
Hospitalizations: 1,732 Hospital Beds Immediately Available: 3,590
Total Jobless Claims: 511,000 *As of May 7th, 2020
 

Overview of DHS Models

Wisconsin- COVID Case Have Been Far Below the Governor’s Estimates Regardless of Scenario or Safer-at-Home.

Initial estimate: 22,000 by April 8, 2020. This assumed a basic doubling model with cases doubling every 3.4 days. DHS Wisconsin Modeling

The Governor and DHS have stated in press conferences that the 22,000 projections did not assume intervention; however, the table above from the DHS website states that no intervention assumed cases doubling every 2 days. This is conflicting information, as is consistent with the DHS data and modeling.

DHS also posted a more conservative model assuming cases doubling every 6.4 days which they stated would result in 2,700 cases by April 8th, and the equation shows 21,383 cases by May 1st. The actual cases on April 8th were 2,756 and actual cases on May 1st were 7,314. However, DHS determined this model was too conservative and ruled it out.

DHS posted a revised model using Johns Hopkins Modeling, time stamped April 24th showing projections from six scenarios ranging from No Intervention to Safer-at-Home 3 months with testing. The model summaries are below:

The highlighted row, Scenario 3, which includes Safer-at-Home for 2 months projects total case loads of 373,800 and 2,100 deaths by May 1. This is taken directly from the DHS’s website. The actual case counts of 7,314 and deaths of 327, as of May 1, are significantly below these projections.

The actual cases in Wisconsin are significantly below any model provided by the Wisconsin Governor and DHS.

 

Infection and Fatality Statistics from the DHS Website

Those infected by the disease span a wide range of ages, as shown in the chart below.

Percent of COVID-19 Cases by Age Group
Source: DHS

However, over 50% of those that have died from COVID-19 in Wisconsin have been over the age of 80, with 31% of those individuals being over 90 years of age. It must be noted the percentages in the chart below do not add up to 100%.

Percent of COVID-19 Deaths by Age Group
Source: DHS

 

Hospital Capacity

As of May 5, there are 3,814 hospital beds available in Wisconsin. According to the DHS website, approximately 20% of all COVID cases have been hospitalized and about 5% have been in the ICU. Below are the statistics for Wisconsin Hospital Bed and Ventilator availability.

Number of Hospital Beds Immediately Available: 3,670
Total Number of Hospital Beds: 11,508

Total Ventilated Patients: 315
General Use Ventilators Available: 1,280

Despite the numbers above, the revised model that DHS published online on April 24 stated that Kenosha, Racine and Waukesha would exceed ICU capacity by the date below. This clearly did not occur.

The data shows there is hospital capacity in Wisconsin to treat COVID-19 patients. Thankfully, the governor's concern regarding overrunning our hospitals has not come to fruition.

Economic Impact and Unemployment

Total Unemployed: 498,297 as of May 2nd

In mid-March, the number of unemployed citizens was 42,438. That has jumped week over week to 498,297; the worst increase ever in WI unemployment as published on the Department of Workforce Development

There are over 450,000 Wisconsin residents currently unemployed due to the layoffs associated with COVID-19.

 

Leading Causes of Death in Wisconsin

Source: CDC
WI Leading Causes of Death, 2017
WI Leading Causes of Death, 2017 Deaths Rate*** State Rank* U.S. Rate**
1. Heart Disease 11,680 157.6 26th 165.0
2. Cancer 11,318 153.2 28th (tie) 152.5
3. Accidents 3,746 58.3 17th 49.4
4. Chronic Lower Respiratory Disease 2,834 38.3 34th (tie) 40.9
5. Stroke 2,513 33.5 38th 37.6
6. Alzheimer’s disease 2,428 31.6 29th 31.0
7. Diabetes 1,433 19.4 35th 21.5
8.  Flu/Pneumonia 974 12.9 39th 14.3
9. Suicide 926 15.4 27th 14.0
10.  Kidney Disease 922 12.5 27th 13.0
 
Wisconsin Mortality Data
Wisconsin Mortality Data Deaths Rate** U.S. Deaths U.S. Rate***
Firearm Deaths 624 10.6 39,773 12.0
Homicide 202 3.7 19,511 6.2
Drug Overdose Deaths 1,177 21.2 70,237 21.7

* Rankings are from highest to lowest.
** Rates for the U.S. include the District of Columbia and (for births) U.S. territories. Refer to notes in publication tables for more detail.
*** Death rates are age-adjusted. Refer to source notes below for more detail.

We are an organization comprised of people who care about the future of America. The decisions being made today are having significant impacts on the future generations of our country and the world. Our politicians are making short-term decisions without factoring in the long-term consequences of these actions. The political partisanship on almost every issue is hindering our nation’s effectiveness today and burdening our future generations with failed policies geared towards winning reelection rather than the long-term prosperity for our nation. Our politicians are failing to represent the interests of these younger Americans as they saddle these generations with growing societal problems and increasing financial debt burdens. Our Future Matters was founded by Eric Hovde and Carson Lappetito.

Eric Hovde

Mr. Hovde is an active entrepreneur who has started and manages numerous business enterprises. Mr. Hovde serves as CEO and co-owner of Hovde Properties, LLC, a real estate development and management company, based in Madison, WI, where he oversees management of the company and all large development projects. Mr. Hovde also serves as the Chairman and CEO of H Bancorp LLC, a private bank holding company, and its subsidiary, Sunwest Bank, headquartered in Orange County, California. Additionally, he serves on the board of directors for ePlus, Inc., a leading value-added reseller and lessor of technology products and services.

Mr. Hovde, along with his brother, Steve, created and fund the Hovde Foundation, an organization that actively supports two central missions – clinical research to find a cure for Multiple Sclerosis and charitable relief for children in desperate need. The Foundation has established Hovde Houses in Ghana, Guatemala, Honduras, Kenya, Malawi, Mexico, Peru, and Rwanda. Mr. Hovde also co-funded an apartment complex, complete with casework managers and job training, for homeless families in his hometown of Madison.

Mr. Hovde earned his degrees in Economics and International Relations at the University of Wisconsin – Madison. He resides in Madison, Wisconsin and is married with two children.

Carson Lappetito

Carson is a passionate and innovative entrepreneur. He currently serves as President of H Bancorp and its subsidiary, Sunwest Bank, an entrepreneurial business bank headquartered in Irvine, CA with operations across the Western US. Previously, he worked in the private equity and investment management industries managing capital invested in Financial Services companies.

Mr. Lappetito graduated from Bates College with a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics and Political Science with a minor in Mandarin Chinese.